Market Overview Campaign by Ariel Property Advisors
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Weekly Market Watch
February 2, 2020 | Volume 14 | Newsletter 5
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Dear Friends:

The final week of January was flooded with impactful news such as the "good cause" eviction bill is gaining steam in New York as seen through a new public poll. In addition, multifamily investment sales activity in 2019 presented significant declines when compared to the previous year with dollar volume at the lowest total since 2011. Further, Amazon has grown its presence in the City with a 450,000 square foot lease for a warehouse in Staten Island.



Multifamily Year in Review: New York City 2019
OUR OBSERVATIONS FOR THE WEEK
Our take on newspaper articles
and happenings in the real estate arena throughout the past week

Sales of New York City apartment buildings tumbled to near-decade lows last year, after new rent rules scared investors away from properties with regulated units, Bloomberg reported. The dollar value of purchases across all boroughs fell 40% from the prior year to $6.91 billion, the lowest total since 2011, according to a report by brokerage Ariel Property Advisors. There were 290 multifamily deals -- a 36% decline, and the first year with fewer than 300 transactions in records dating to 2010. "The fact that there's no correlation between the amount you put into a building and the amount of rent you can charge has completely shifted investment interest in rent-stabilized buildings," Shimon Shkury, president of Ariel, said in an interview.

A majority of Democratic state senators and assembly members have signed on to a "good cause" eviction bill, and backers seeking to build on that momentum released a poll Monday gauging public support for the concept, The Real Deal reported. The poll, conducted Jan. 13 to 19 by progressive think tank Data for Progress, found 47 percent of respondents would "strongly" and 29 percent "somewhat" support a proposal "to require that landlords have a good reason to evict a tenant," such as "not paying rent."

Amazon is upping its presence in Staten Island, The Real Deal reported. The company has leased a warehouse spanning 450,000 square feet next to the 855,000-square-foot distribution center it opened on the West Shore in 2017, according to Crain's. The warehouses are part of the industrial hub by the Bayonne Bridge that Matrix Development Group is building called Matrix Global Logistics Park. The distribution center focuses on storing and sorting goods, while the new warehouse will focus on last-mile deliveries. It should be up and running by the summer.

The Federal Reserve kept its benchmark interest rate steady and continued to signal policy would stay on hold for the time being as the U.S. enters a presidential election year, Bloomberg reported. The target range of the federal funds rate of 1.5% to 1.75% is "appropriate to support sustained expansion of economic activity,'' the Federal Open Market Committee said Wednesday, repeating language from the December statement.

A recent uptick in activity in the Northern Manhattan area suggests that investors are becoming active again, GlobeSt reported, citing a report from Ariel Property Advisors. "The Housing Stability and Tenant Protection Act of 2019 eliminated or altered many different legal mechanisms to increase rents. We're still seeing how the market will adjust, but it is clear that investors are basing values much more off of in-place cash-flow versus future upside," says Victor Sozio, executive vice president and founding member of Ariel Property Advisors.

 
 
Weekly Real Estate Article Roundup
(Please note certain articles require a subscription to be viewed)
Macro News

Scott Stringer calls for ''universal affordable housing,'' end to 421a
The Real Deal - January 29, 2020

Pols pounce as city caves in on Sunset Park property
The Real Deal - January 29, 2020

New York Community Bank doubles down on multifamily lending
The Real Deal - January 29, 2020

Board OKs Extell's Upper West Side tower despite objections over height
Crain's NY - January 28, 2020

Is Mayor de Blasio's Housing Plan Working?
NY Observer - January 28, 2020

Multifamily market had its worst year since 2011
The Real Deal - January 27, 2020


Neighborhood Related News

One Year Later: Looking Back at Amazon Ditching Queens
NY Observer - January 28, 2020

Triple-digit office rents, once a rarity, are now a major piece of Manhattan deals
The Real Deal - January 24, 2020

Chetrit plans fifth apartment building at Jamaica hospital site
The Real Deal - January 24, 2020

HPD hails rezoning that will add over 1,000 homes to Rockaways
RE Weekly - January 24, 2020

De Blasio not throwing support behind push for new housing in SoHo
Crain's NY - January 24, 2020


Market Activity

Extell proposes UWS mixed-use tower after completing assemblage
The Real Deal - January 29, 2020

JPMorgan looks to sell Plaza District office building for $550M
The Real Deal - January 29, 2020

Billy Macklowe in contract for contested Park Slope site
The Real Deal - January 29, 2020

L3's Williamsburg retail properties snag $91M refi
The Real Deal - January 27, 2020

Greenpoint Apartments Trade for $29M
NY Observer - January 27, 2020

 
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