Core Market Report · Q3 2026
Q3 2026

Manhattan North (East) Investment Sales

A snapshot of recorded transactions across the East and Central Harlem sub-market for the third quarter of 2026 — a predominantly rent-stabilized multifamily submarket with select development and conversion activity.

PeriodJuly 1 — September 30, 2026
Transactions4 trades across 4 properties
Dollar volume$13.7MM
Dollar Volume
$13.7MM
▼ 55% decrease vs Q3 2025
Transaction Volume
4
▼ 67% decrease vs Q3 2025
Dev. & Conv. $ Volume
$9.2MM
67% of dollar volume
Contents
01 — Executive Summary

A quiet quarter in East Harlem

A high-level review of Q3 2026 investment-sales activity in East & Central Harlem — volume, trends, and the five points that defined the quarter.

02 — Activity at a Glance

Visuals: timeline, composition, geography

Four views of Q3 2026 activity — historical context, year-over-year composition, asset-class mix, and neighborhood concentration.

01 — Quarterly Activity
Manhattan North (East) quarterly activity
Dollar volume and transaction count, Q4 2024 – Q3 2026
Source: Ariel Property Advisors
02 — YoY Asset Comparison
Q3 2026 vs Q3 2025 dollar volume
Change in quarterly dollar volume by asset class ($M)
Source: Ariel Property Advisors
03 — Asset Class Mix
Q3 2026 asset class mix
Share of dollar volume (dark) and transactions (blue) — by property type
Asset class$ vol% DV% Tx
Development & Conversions$9.2M67.4%50.0%
Multifamily$4.5M32.6%50.0%
Source: Ariel Property Advisors
04 — Neighborhood Concentration
Q3 2026 neighborhood leaderboard
Dollar volume and transaction count by neighborhood
NeighborhoodTx$ vol
East Harlem4$13.7M
Source: Ariel Property Advisors
03 — Geographic Distribution

Every trade on one map

Each Q3 2026 transaction is plotted by neighborhood (street-level geocoding was unavailable, so points are clustered at neighborhood centroids). Bubbles are colored by asset class and sized by sale price — the $7.5MM 1678 Park Avenue development and the $3.3MM 2033 Second Avenue multifamily trade in East Harlem read as the dominant bubbles. Click any bubble for the deal details.

Asset class
Development
Conversion
Multifamily
Sale price
$2M $3M $9M
04 — Watchlist

What we're watching into Q4

Near-term catalysts likely to shape East & Central Harlem deal flow over the next two quarters.

East Harlem development

1678 Park Avenue ($7.5MM) and 7 East 124th Street led a thin quarter. Watch development-site and conversion activity along the Park and Second Avenue corridors as 485-x and Harlem rezonings play out.

Rent-stabilized multifamily

Two small multifamily trades at a ~$289K/unit median show the East Harlem value-add basis. Watch whether trade count recovers; the submarket's dollar volume swings with the presence or absence of larger deals.

Episodic volume

Dollar volume in this small submarket is highly episodic — $124.8MM in Q1 2026, $13.7MM in Q3. Watch for the next portfolio or development trade to reset the quarterly total.

Rate path and deal size

With a $2.5MM median ticket across four trades, East Harlem trades in small increments. The pace of larger closings into Q4 2026 will track financing costs and the return of portfolio sellers.

05 — Transaction Log

Q3 2026 Manhattan North (East) recorded trades

Complete transaction log for Q3 2026, sorted by activity date. Development trades show N/A for $/SF (the relevant metric is $/BSF); conversions, multifamily, retail, office and hotel show N/A for $/BSF (the relevant metric is $/SF). $/Unit is reported only for multifamily product with residential units. Footer $/BSF averages cover development trades only; $/SF averages exclude development.

AddressDatePriceProperty type$/SF$/BSF$/Unit
7 E 124th St (1-1749-7) 7/30/2026 $1,710,000 Conversion $571 N/A N/A
333 E 116th St (1-1688-15) 8/13/2026 $1,150,000 MF-MU Small $359 N/A $383,333
2033 2nd Ave (1-1654-25) 8/13/2026 $3,300,000 MF-MU 10+ resi units $310 N/A $194,118
1678 Park Ave (1-1745-134) 9/10/2026 $7,500,000 Development N/A $35 N/A
AVERAGES$3,415,000$413$35$288,725
MEDIAN$2,505,000$359$35$288,725
06 — Compiled By

Manhattan North (East) investment sales

Reach out with questions on the data, the market, or specific transactions.

Alexander Taic
Alexander Taic
Director — Investment Sales
212.544.9500 x44ataic@arielpa.com