Preliminary report These are preliminary H1 2026 figures. Our full mid-year reports and State of the Market presentation arrive in the coming weeks at our Coffee & Cap Rates event on July 30, 2026. Event details →
Ariel Property Advisors H1 2026 All Asset Sales Report
H1 2026

New York City
All Asset Investment
Sales Report H1 2026

by Ariel Property Advisors Released July 2026
Volume
H1 2026 vs H1 2025
▲ 37% $17.38B Dollar volume
▲ 5% 1,224 Transaction volume
▲ 8% 1,651 Property volume
Highlights

H1 2026 Market Overview

H1 2026 investment sales rebounded to $17.38 billion across 1,224 transactions—a 37% year-over-year jump in dollar volume and the strongest first half since 2022. However, with transaction counts up just 5%, this represents a concentrated cyclical high driven by large deals rather than a broad market recovery.

The top 25 transactions represented just 2% of all trades but accounted for 37% of total dollar volume, highlighting a market with fewer deals and much larger capital commitments.

Multifamily, Development and Office led the half. Retail posted the highest average price per square foot in a decade. Hotel and Special Purpose were each defined by one or two transformative transactions. Industrial was the single segment that declined.

Comparison Tables

H1 2026 by Asset Class

Asset Class H1 2026 Volume vs H1 2025 Transactions vs H1 2025 Properties vs H1 2025 Share of Total
Multifamily$4.95B▲ 21%652▲ 6%868▲ 11%28.5%
Development$3.88B▲ 61%219▲ 4%324▼ 2%22.3%
Office$3.76B▲ 31%62▼ 2%82▲ 1%21.7%
Retail$1.75B▲ 21%144▲ 12%190▲ 17%10.1%
Special Purpose$1.57B▲ 119%36▼ 12%59▲ 40%9.1%
Hotel$867M▲ 72%10▬ 0%12▼ 25%5.0%
Industrial / WH / Storage$597M▼ 8%101▲ 4%116▼ 1%3.4%
Grand Total$17.38B▲ 37%1,224▲ 5%1,651▲ 8%100%

Source: Ariel Property Advisors. All figures include projected closings.

Asset Class Breakdown

Office

Dollar volume$3.76B▲ 31%
Transactions62▼ 2%
Properties82▲ 1%

Office investment sales totaled $3.76 billion across 62 transactions and 82 properties in H1 2026, which is up 31% in dollar volume year over year on essentially flat deal count, marking the strongest office half since 2022.

The largest trade was SL Green's $730 million purchase of 65 East 55th Street from Blackstone ($1,176/SF), roughly 20% of all office volume in a single deal. Blackstone sold into a mortgage maturity at just a 3% discount to its $750 million 2014 basis — and SL Green, already an owner in the submarket, underwrote that reset basis on strengthening fundamentals, a sign premier Manhattan office has decoupled from the broader office narrative.

Manhattan office leasing is showing clear momentum, supported by strong tenant demand from law firms, technology companies, and AI firms. According to Colliers, the first half was the most active since 2022, with 4.2 million square feet leased in May, up 35% year over year, bringing year-to-date leasing volume to 19.6 million square feet.1 Recent commitments from Simpson Thacher, Google, and Anthropic point to continued demand for high-quality Manhattan office space.

Conviction remains bifurcated. A new discounted lease up bet emerged through David Werner's $270 million purchase of the 72% occupied One Dag Hammarskjöld Plaza (885 Second Avenue) at roughly $330 per square foot. Meanwhile, Class B and C assets kept capitulating, as evidenced by PIMCO's exit of 25 Elm Place in Brooklyn for $55 million against a $146 million 2013 trade. Trophy assets are refinanceable, leaseable, and buyable at near peak basis; everything else is a conversion play or a distress exit.

Multifamily

Dollar volume$4.95B▲ 21%
Transactions652▲ 6%
Properties868▲ 11%

New York City multifamily produced $4.95 billion in sales across 652 transactions and 868 properties in H1 2026, marking an increase of 21% in dollar volume, 6% in deal count, and 11% in property count year over year. This segment captured the highest transaction count of any asset class.

Free market multifamily2 captured 65% of all multifamily dollar volume, as Manhattan apartment occupancy rose to 94.8% in February3 and posted the first back to back monthly rent gains in seven months. Conversely, rent stabilized trading remained dominated by distress. Unlike rent-stabilized assets trapped under severe inflation, the affordable sector operates under absolute public-private alignment.

The free market bellwether was Carmel Partners' acquisition of MetLife's 50% interest in five Upper West Side buildings containing 710 units for $241 million at about 24% discount from the previous trade in 2012. This was unlocked by stepping into the seller's in place, below market Fannie Mae financing at 2.6% interest rate. The portfolio's 421a tax abatement expires in 5 years (2031).

A full free market, rent stabilized, and affordable breakdown will follow in our detailed Q2 2026 multifamily report.

Development

Dollar volume$3.88B▲ 61%
Transactions219▲ 4%
Properties324▼ 2%

Development produced $3.88 billion across 219 transactions and 324 properties in H1 2026. This is up 61% in dollar volume year over year on a 4% rise in deal count, even though property count fell 2%. This stands as the strongest development half since 2022 and the second largest asset class of the period.

Development's rebound is policy-driven, led by 485-x. Most builders stay under 99 units to dodge the program's prevailing-wage threshold — 91% of the 281 proposed buildings in REBNY's Q1 report4 did. By Ariel's data, 485-x deals drove ~$870 million (70% of ground-up rental volume) across 106 trades at $211/BSF. The exception to the 99-unit trend was the bellweather: Rockefeller Group's $96 million ($239/BSF) buy of 200-204 W 97th Street, planned as a single ~300-unit rental instead of the sub-99-unit build most developers use to stay non-union.

Residential conversions are being pulled forward by the 467-m incentive, which is now hitting its first deadline: projects that commenced construction by June 2026 locked in the full 35-year tax exemption, dropping to 30 years after that and 25 years after June 2028 — and City of Yes density rules improve the math further. Two transactions illustrate the trend: Quantum Pacific and MetroLoft's $135 million acquisition of 845 Third Avenue, and BGO's $105 million sale of 2 Rector Street, a 52% discount to its 2016 basis. The Q3 test is whether these pipelines hold into execution.

Beyond residential, momentum was propelled by major office, institutional, and commercial conversion plays. This includes the half's largest single site trade: Northwell Health's roughly $230 million purchase of 96-05 Queens Boulevard for a 1 million-plus BSF commercial-to-medical conversion at $226/BSF. Additionally, Extell executed the cycle's largest Midtown office land play with a $500 million assemblage at 405 and 417 Park Avenue ($1,502/BSF), while Bally's boosted totals with a $156.6 million Ferry Point acquisition to anchor a projected $4 billion Bronx casino resort.

Retail

Dollar volume$1.75B▲ 21%
Transactions144▲ 12%
Properties190▲ 17%

Retail investment sales totaled $1.75 billion across 144 transactions and 190 properties in H1 2026, up 21% in dollar volume, 12% in deal count, and 17% in property count year over year. The average price per square foot hit roughly $1,085, which is the highest reading in a decade, concentrated heavily in a handful of large format or owner occupier trades. The largest transaction was Acadia Realty Trust and TPG Angelo Gordon's $424 million purchase of the Shops at Skyview, a 550,000-square-foot retail complex in Flushing, from Blackstone at $764 per square foot.

Owner occupiers set the rest of the clearing price. Richemont bought 690 Madison Avenue for $54.5 million, and G4 Capital paid $65 million for the fully leased Williamsburg Wharf at 206 Kent Avenue.

Hotel

Dollar volume$867M▲ 72%
Transactions10▬ 0%
Properties12▼ 25%

Hotel transactions produced $867 million across 10 deals and 12 properties in H1 2026, up 72% in dollar volume year over year (the strongest hotel half since 2022) even as property count fell 25%. At an average trade near $87 million, the half was defined by a short list of high-priced deals.

The jump is underwritten by best-in-nation operating fundamentals. New York City led the country with an 84.1% occupancy rate, lifting average daily rate 4.7% to $333.71 and revenue per available room (RevPAR) 4.5% to $280.71.5

Two trades made up 55% of volume: Gencom's $270 million purchase of 50 Central Park South (253-key Ritz-Carlton, $1,106/SF), its third NYC luxury hotel in 16 months; and 132 West 27th Street, a 313-key Chelsea hotel at $203 million (~$648,000 per key).

Industrial

Dollar volume$597M▼ 8%
Transactions101▲ 4%
Properties116▼ 1%

Industrial was the only asset class to decline, generating $597 million across 101 transactions and 116 properties in H1 2026, down 8% in dollar volume year over year with property count down 1%.

Fundamentals remain healthy, with NYC industrial rents projected at $24.85 per square foot by year end,6 but supply is constrained by long term ownership in the prime logistics corridors. Terreno Realty's $92 million purchase of 28-10 Whitestone Expressway in College Point represented roughly 15% of total segment volume, targeting a 5.4% stabilized cap rate.

Special Purpose

Dollar volume$1.57B▲ 119%
Transactions36▼ 12%
Properties59▲ 40%

Special purpose generated $1.57 billion across 36 transactions and 59 properties in H1 2026, up 119% year over year in dollar volume.

Two deals drove the bulk of the segment: Lotte's $491 million purchase of the ground lease under the New York Palace hotel, and the NYC portion of Centers Health Care's ~$1.7 billion multi-state medical-portfolio sale to the Emerald Group — concentrated in New York State but largely outside the five boroughs. The city's share spanned four boroughs — $296.25 million in Brooklyn, $161.25 million in the Bronx, $82 million on Staten Island, and $16.1 million in Queens (~$555.6 million).

Watchlist

Accelerants

Policy deadline

The 467-m construction start cliff

Conversion projects had to commence construction by June 2026 to lock in the full 35 year tax exemption. Under current rules, the benefit compresses to 30 years for projects starting later than June 2026 and stepping down to 25 years after June 2028. For many pending deals, that step down is the exact difference between feasible and unfeasible. With the deadline now passed, the coming weeks will either release a wave of deal closings or reveal how many projects were stalled on capital rather than timing.

Pricing floor

Non-performing loan resolution

Upcoming loan maturities, rather than outright distress alone, are the primary catalyst driving the current wave of dispositions. Faced with maturing debt facilities, regional and commercial banks are forced to accept multi-million dollar write-downs to purge regulated residential and office exposure through NPL note sales. Each maturity-driven resolution establishes the true market pricing floor, marking the definitive end of "extend and pretend" while opening a fresh equity entry basis. The recent Flagstar and Pinnacle write-downs serve as the template for this transition.

Rate environment

A rate acceptance scenario

The June 2026 FOMC dot plot under new Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh revealed a sharp hawkish shift, putting rate hikes back on the table as inflation projections for the year jumped to 3.6%. Rather than waiting for a rate relief scenario driven by cooling inflation, market participants have effectively given up on falling rates. Borrowers are trading interest rate anticipation for acceptance, adapting to a higher-for-longer reality. This acceptance—combined with pressure from lenders to resolve maturing debt—is forcing owners to lower their pricing expectations to meet the market, unlocking a pipeline of opportunity and prompting sidelined transaction volume to return.

Demand catalyst

The casino license allocation

Now that the downstate gaming licenses have been formally awarded, the decision is triggering a highly localized transformation of land values and hospitality infrastructure in the designated corridors, completely eclipsing past speculative positioning. Bally's $156.6 million Ferry Point acquisition stands as the clear leading indicator of this transition.

Risks

Rent stabilized

Structurally challenged rent-stabilized sector

The city's rent-stabilized multifamily market remains fundamentally and structurally challenged, with no viable economic or legislative solution in sight. The underlying math is simply unworkable: a roughly 40% surge in operating expenses over five years against just 16% of cumulative allowed rent growth. The Rent Guidelines Board's recent confirmation of a city-wide rent freeze serves as a stark anecdote of this broken system, shifting a political risk into a permanent financial reality. This ongoing imbalance guarantees further building deterioration, keeps tens of thousands of vacant units offline, and drives a forced sale pipeline that the free-market inventory will continue to bypass.

Tax policy

Pied-à-terre surcharge behavioral effects

Lawmakers passed a pied-à-terre tax on second homes valued above $5 million as part of the state budget. Brokers report that it is already chilling luxury demand, with some buyers pausing searches before a single dollar has even been collected.

Affordability gap

The 200,000 unit affordability gap

The Mamdani administration's plan calls for 200,000 new affordable units and the preservation of 200,000 more over a decade, backed by $22 billion in city investment over five years. The gap still cannot close without private capital, which the same administration is making more expensive through a $40 per hour prevailing wage standard on city assisted projects.

Enforcement

Enforcement as housing policy via COPA

The city is advancing roof to cellar inspections, fast-tracked litigation, and the proposed Community Opportunity to Purchase Act. This act would hand non-profits first look purchase rights and use the 7A program to strip deed control from distressed owners. However, shifting a deed does not change asset economics; a building weighed down by rent caps and high debt service still cannot fund reinvestment. We are watching whether this accelerates forced transitions across the regulated stock.

Sources & Notes
  1. Colliers, Manhattan Office Market Report, H1 2026 — first-half leasing volume and momentum.
  2. Free market defined as buildings with fewer than 25% rent-stabilized units.
  3. Corcoran, Manhattan Rental Market Report — apartment occupancy and monthly rent trends.
  4. REBNY, Q1 2026 construction pipeline — proposed-building counts and 485-x program data.
  5. Cornovus Capital, Northeast Hospitality Market Report, Q1 2026 — NYC lodging occupancy, ADR, and RevPAR.
  6. Marcus & Millichap, NYC Industrial Market — projected year-end asking rents.

All other figures are drawn from Ariel Property Advisors’ proprietary transaction database and include projected closings. For full data sources, asset-class classifications, and calculation methodology, see arielpa.nyc/investor-relations/research-reports#methodology.

About the Report

Ariel Property Advisors

Our approach

Ariel's unique company structure, with separate groups for Investment Sales, Capital Services and Research, ensures outstanding service for our clients. Whether it's implementing a strategic marketing process, compiling a comprehensive Asset Evaluation, securing financing or providing timely market information, every assignment is served by a team of specialized professionals.

Contact & authors

This research report was compiled by:

Shimon Shkurysshkury@arielpa.com
Nikola Cosicncosic@arielpa.com

For more information contact Gail Donovan · 212.544.9500 ext. 19 · gdonovan@arielpa.com

To quote this report, please cite: "New York City All Asset Investment Sales Report H1 2026 by Ariel Property Advisors"